Risk Disclosure

Last updated: June 2026 · Read this before acting on any analysis

DRAFT — PENDING LEGAL REVIEW · NOT YET IN EFFECT

Trading involves substantial risk of loss. You can lose some or all of the money you trade. Leveraged products can produce losses greater than your deposit. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

What our score is — and is not

A confluence score of 92/100 means 92 conditions out of 100 aligned at the moment of analysis. It is not a 92% chance of winning. Historically, our highest-confluence setups have won roughly 4 times out of 10 — profitability, where it exists, comes from winners being larger than losers (expectancy), not from a high win rate. Expect losing streaks; our historical data includes streaks of 10+ consecutive losses at the alert threshold.

What our published statistics mean

Backtested figures are measured on historical data with assumptions (costs, pessimistic fills) that are documented in our METHODOLOGY — they do not predict future performance.
Our statistical validation currently covers crypto markets only. Analysis of forex, stocks and commodities relies on lower-quality data feeds and has not been validated to the same standard.
Live market behaviour can differ from any backtest: regimes change, liquidity vanishes, and news overrides technicals.

Specific risks

Market risk: prices move suddenly and gap through stop levels — actual losses can exceed the analysed invalidation level.
Data risk: our data sources can be delayed, incomplete, or wrong; an analysis built on bad data is bad analysis.
Model risk: automated scoring and AI commentary can be wrong, including confidently wrong.
Crypto-specific risk: extreme volatility, 24/7 markets, exchange and regulatory risk.
Timing risk: alerts have a validity window; acting on a stale alert changes the risk/reward entirely.

Our position

SRA Quant provides analysis and education. We are not a broker, do not hold client funds, do not execute trades, and are not licensed to provide investment advice in the UAE or elsewhere. Every trading decision — including position size, entry, exit, and whether to trade at all — is yours. If you do not fully understand these risks, consult a licensed financial advisor before trading.